Biomed Predictions

SynerGPT: In-Context Learning for Personalized Drug Synergy Prediction and Drug Design
Carl Edwards, Aakanksha Naik, Tushar Khot, Martin Burke, Heng Ji, Tom Hope

Predicting synergistic drug combinations can help accelerate discovery of cancer treatments, particularly therapies personalized to a patient’s specific tumor via biopsied cells. In this paper, we propose a novel setting and models for in-context drug synergy learning. We are given a small “personalized dataset” of 10-20 drug synergy relationships in the context of specific cancer cell targets. Our goal is to predict additional drug synergy relationships in that context. Inspired by recent work that pre-trains a GPT language model (LM) to “in-context learn” common function classes, we devise novel pre-training schemes that enable a GPT model to in-context learn “drug synergy functions”. Our model – which does not use any textual corpora, molecular fingerprints, protein interaction or any other domain-specific knowledge – is able to achieve competitive results. We further integrate our in-context approach with a genetic algorithm to optimize model prompts and select synergy candidates to test after conducting a patient biopsy. Finally, we explore a novel task of inverse drug design which can potentially enable the design of drugs that synergize specifically to target a given patient’s “personalized dataset”. Our findings can potentially have an important impact on precision cancer medicine, and also raise intriguing questions on non-textual pre-training for LMs.

Paper

Literature-Augmented Clinical Outcome Prediction
Aakanksha Naik, Sravanthi Parasa, Sergey Feldman, Lucy Lu Wang, Tom Hope
NAACL 2022

Predictive models for medical outcomes hold great promise for enhancing clinical decision-making. These models are trained on rich patient data such as clinical notes, aggregating many patient signals into an outcome prediction. However, AI-based clinical models have typically been developed in isolation from the prominent paradigm of Evidence Based Medicine (EBM), in which medical decisions are based on explicit evidence from existing literature. In this work, we introduce techniques to help bridge this gap between EBM and AI-based clinical models, and show that these methods can improve predictive accuracy. We propose a novel system that automatically retrieves patient-specific literature based on intensive care (ICU) patient information, aggregates relevant papers and fuses them with internal admission notes to form outcome predictions. Our model is able to substantially boost predictive accuracy on three challenging tasks in comparison to strong recent baselines; for in-hospital mortality, we are able to boost top-10% precision by a large margin of over 25%.

Paper

CascadER: Cross-Modal Cascading for Knowledge Graph Link Prediction
Tara Safavi, Doug Downey, Tom Hope
AKBC 2022

Knowledge graph (KG) link prediction is a fundamental task in artificial intelligence, with applications in natural language processing, information retrieval, and biomedicine. Recently, promising results have been achieved by leveraging cross-modal information in KGs, using ensembles that combine knowledge graph embeddings (KGEs) and contextual language models (LMs). However, existing ensembles are either (1) not consistently effective in terms of ranking accuracy gains or (2) impractically inefficient on larger datasets due to the combinatorial explosion problem of pairwise ranking with deep language models. In this paper, we propose a novel tiered ranking architecture CascadER to maintain the ranking accuracy of full ensembling while improving efficiency considerably. CascadER uses LMs to rerank the outputs of more efficient base KGEs, relying on an adaptive subset selection scheme aimed at invoking the LMs minimally while maximizing accuracy gain over the KGE. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CascadER improves MRR by up to 9 points over KGE baselines, setting new state-of-the-art performance on four benchmarks while improving efficiency by one or more orders of magnitude over competitive cross-modal baselines. Our empirical analyses reveal that diversity of models across modalities and preservation of individual models’ confidence signals help explain the effectiveness of CascadER, and suggest promising directions for cross-modal cascaded architectures. Code and pretrained models are made available.

Paper Github

Scientific Language Models for Biomedical Knowledge Base Completion
Rahul Nadkarni, David Wadden, Iz Beltagy, Noah A. Smith, Hannaneh Hajishirzi, Tom Hope
AKBC 2021

Biomedical knowledge graphs (KGs) hold rich information on entities such as diseases, drugs, and genes. Predicting missing links in these graphs can boost many important applications, such as drug design and repurposing. Recent work has shown that general-domain language models (LMs) can serve as “soft” KGs, and that they can be fine-tuned for the task of KG completion. In this work, we study scientific LMs for KG completion, exploring whether we can tap into their latent knowledge to enhance biomedical link prediction. We evaluate several domain-specific LMs, fine-tuning them on datasets centered on drugs and diseases that we represent as KGs and enrich with textual entity descriptions. We integrate the LM-based models with KG embedding models, using a router method that learns to assign each input example to either type of model and provides a substantial boost in performance. Finally, we demonstrate the advantage of LM models in the inductive setting with novel scientific entities. Our datasets and code are made publicly available.

Paper Github